Validation of SCORE2 on a sample from the Russian population and adaptation for the very high cardiovascular disease risk region.

SCORE2 (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation 2) is a risk assessment scale for cardiovascular events, presented in 2021 by the European Society of Cardiology. Both for training and validation of the SCORE2 model, representative samples from the Russian population were not used. Therefore, we aimed to validate SCORE2 on a such sample. For this purpose, we used a sample from the ESSE-RF epidemiological study consisting of 7251 participants aged 40-69 years without history of CVDs. We performed the validation by comparing SCORE2 risk estimates for ESSE-RF participants with the observed incidence of cardiovascular events in the study, adjusted for event information losses. The validation demonstrated that SCORE2 risk estimates were accurate for Russian men and inaccurate for Russian women. Together with the quantitative assessment of risk, SCORE2 offers its interpretation in terms of 10-year CVD risk group: low-moderate, high, and very high. For Russian men we considered the original interpretation of the SCORE2 estimates to be questionable because almost none of the men would be categorized as having "low-to-moderate" 10-year CVD risk. This problem would be typical for all countries of the very high CVD risk region. Therefore, we proposed a new interpretation of the SCORE2 risk estimates for men from the very high risk region. According to the proposed interpretation, the fraction of men in ESSE-RF in "low-to-moderate" 10-year CVD risk increased from 2% to 18% and the fraction of men in "very high" CVD risk decreased from 63% to 20% as compared to the original interpretation. The proposed interpretation would allow a more personalized approach to CVD treatment and optimize the burden on primary healthcare in the very high risk region countries.

Applicability of Diagnostic Criteria and High Prevalence of Familial Dysbetalipoproteinemia in Russia: A Pilot Study.

Familial dysbetalipoproteinemia (FD) is a highly atherogenic genetically based lipid disorder with an underestimated actual prevalence. In recent years, several biochemical algorithms have been developed to diagnose FD using available laboratory tests. The practical applicability of FD diagnostic criteria and the prevalence of FD in Russia have not been previously assessed. We demonstrated that the diagnostic algorithms of FD, including the diagnostic apoB levels, require correction, taking into account the distribution of apoB levels in the population. At the same time, a triglycerides cutoff ≥ 1.5 mmol/L may be a useful tool in identifying subjects with FD. In this study, a high prevalence of FD was detected: 0.67% (one in 150) based on the ε2ε2 haplotype and triglycerides levels ≥ 1.5 mmol/L. We also analyzed the presence and pathogenicity of APOE variants associated with autosomal dominant FD in a large research sample.

Lipoprotein(a) in an adult sample from the Russian population: distribution and association with atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases.

Introduction: Lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)) is recognized as an independent risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The aim of this study was to estimate the distribution of Lp(a) levels in working age adults from the Russian population and to assess its association with ischemic heart disease (IHD), myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, diabetes mellitus (DM), and arterial hypertension (AH). Material and methods: This substudy of the population-based study "Epidemiology of Cardiovascular Diseases and their Risk Factors in Some Regions of the Russian Federation" (ESSE-RF) included 8461 subjects aged 25-64 years (63.7% women) without lipid-lowering drugs. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease was self-reported. Lp(a), apolipoproteins AI and B, and lipid and glucose levels in blood serum were determined. Results: The prevalence of Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dl was 20.5% and 23.0%, and prevalence of Lp(a) ≥ 50 mg/dl was 13.3% and 15.2%, in men and women, respectively. An association of Lp(a) with IHD, MI, and AH, but not with stroke and DM, was shown. A cut-off level of Lp(a) of 9 mg/dl was determined, above which there was increased frequency of MI (by 59.2%, p = 0.02), IHD (by 33.4%, p < 0.001), and AH (by 11.6%, p < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis only the association of Lp(a) with IHD (1.19 (1.01-1.41), p = 0.038) and MI (1.57 (1.06-2.38), p = 0.028) remained significant. Conclusions: Lipoprotein(a) level ≥ 30 mg/dl was detected in every fifth adult aged 25-64 years. Increased risk of MI and IHD starts at an Lp(a) serum level above 9 mg/dl.

Mental Health of the Russian Federation Population versus Regional Living Conditions and Individual Income.

The objective of our study was to assess the impact of regional living conditions on the Russian population's mental health. For the analysis, we used data from the cross-sectional stage of a 2013-2014 study, "Epidemiology of Cardiovascular Diseases in the Regions of the Russian Federation (ESSE-RF)". The final sample included 18,021 men and women 25-64 years of age from 11 regions of Russia. Using principal component analysis, we performed an integral simultaneous assessment of stress, anxiety, and depression. To describe the regional living conditions, we utilized five regional indices, which were computed from publicly available data of the Federal State Statistics Service of Russia. Overall, mental health indicators were improved, on the one hand, with the deterioration of social conditions and an aggravation of the demographic depression in the region, but on the other hand, they were improved with an increase in economic and industrial development, along with economic inequality among the population. In addition, the impact of regional living conditions on mental health increased with a higher individual wealth. The obtained results provided new fundamental knowledge on the impact of the living environment on health, using the case study of the Russian population, which has been little studied in this regard.

Relationship between characteristics of large national regions and individual alcohol consumption: a scoping review.

OBJECTIVE: The goal of our article was to systematise studies that investigated the impact of living conditions in large national regions on individual alcohol consumption. METHODS: The objectives of the scoping review, the criteria and methods for selecting articles were defined in advance and recorded in the protocol PROSPERO CRD42021234874. We sought publications on the research topic in PubMed, Google Scholar, OpenGrey, Crossref and eLibrary databases from the moment they were created until December 31, 2021. The final sample included 81 publications. RESULTS: The majority of ultimately selected papers were published after 2010 (62 articles), represented the USA (68 articles), and considered samples of children and youths, either the younger population or the general adult population (65 articles). High quality was characteristic for 19 studies, whereas satisfactory quality was exhibited by 46 publications. The most consistent associations with individual alcohol consumption were revealed for the legislative environment (especially for integral scales and indices), alcohol pricing policy, the prevalence of alcohol consumption and binge drinking in the population, and unemployment rate. CONCLUSION: The review made it possible to systematise the results of studies on the impact of the characteristics of large national regions on alcohol consumption, including a description of these characteristics and results, samples and designs of studies, their quality, as well as to summarise the results of these studies.

Regional Living Conditions and Individual Dietary Characteristics of the Russian Population.

The goal of our study was to examine the effects of the regional characteristics of the living environment on individual a priori and a posteriori dietary patterns of the Russian population. For the analysis, we used cross-sectional data from the Epidemiology of Cardiovascular Diseases in the Regions of the Russian Federation study from 2013-2014. The sample included 18,054 men and women 25-64 years of age from 12 regions. Based on the frequency of consumption of basic foods, four a posteriori empirical dietary patterns (EDPs), along with an a priori cardioprotective dietary pattern (CPDP), were identified. To describe the regional living environment, five regional indices were used. Adherence to the meat-based EDP was directly associated with deterioration of social living conditions and a more northerly location for the region of residence. The probability of a CPDP increased with greater deterioration of social living conditions, aggravation of demographic crises, and higher industrial development in the region, as well as with declines in the economic development of the region, income, and economic inequality among the population. We detected several gender-dependent differences in the associations established. The patterns revealed reflect the national dietary preferences of Russians, and the regional indices characterize the effect of the living environment.

Identification of Pathogenic Variant Burden and Selection of Optimal Diagnostic Method Is a Way to Improve Carrier Screening for Autosomal Recessive Diseases.

Cystic fibrosis, phenylketonuria, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, and sensorineural hearing loss are among the most common autosomal recessive diseases, which require carrier screening. The evaluation of population allele frequencies (AF) of pathogenic variants in genes associated with these conditions and the choice of the best genotyping method are the necessary steps toward development and practical implementation of carrier-screening programs. We performed custom panel genotyping of 3821 unrelated participants from two Russian population representative samples and three patient groups using real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and next generation sequencing (NGS). The custom panel included 115 known pathogenic variants in the CFTR, PAH, SERPINA1, and GJB2 genes. Overall, 38 variants were detected. The comparison of genotyping platforms revealed the following advantages of real-time PCR: relatively low cost, simple genotyping data analysis, and easier detection of large indels, while NGS showed better accuracy of variants identification and capability for detection of additional pathogenic variants in adjacent regions. A total of 23 variants had significant differences in estimated AF comparing with non-Finnish Europeans from gnomAD. This study provides new AF data for variants associated with the studied disorders and the comparison of genotyping methods for carrier screening.

Epidemiology of risk factors and estimating 10-year probability of osteoporotic fractures in the Russian Federation.

In assessing the risk of fractures, an important role is played by risk factors (RFs), the prevalence of which must be known among residents with different types of settlement in order to plan preventive measures in risk groups for fractures. Prevalence RFs varied depending on constituent entities and the settlement type. PURPOSE: To investigate the prevalence of osteoporotic fractures (OPF) RFs and estimate absolute risk (AR) of OPF among urban vs rural residents of the Russian Federation. METHODS: In total, 13,391 Russian women and men 40-69 years old from 12 regions participated in the study. Groups of urban (n = 12,237) and rural (n = 1154) subjects were comparable in terms of their age. Participants were interviewed using a standard modular questionnaire. AR of OPF was calculated using the Russian FRAX model. Age-dependent diagnostic and therapeutic intervention thresholds (DIT, TIT) were employed to stratify AR of OPF. RESULTS: Among the OPF RFs, the most common were as follows: previous OPF (16.3%), causes of secondary osteoporosis (20.8%), and current smoking (17.9%). The frequencies of previous OPF and alcohol abuse in rural men were higher than in urban male residents. Urban women, compared with rural females, were characterized by such more frequent RFs as smoking and glucocorticoids' intake. AR increased with age and prevailed in women, compared with men, regardless of their age, region of residence, and settlement type. According to TIT, the frequency of high AR of major OPF in the sample was 7.0%. According to DIT, high, medium, and low AR of major OPF was detected in 3.1%, 42.2%, and 54.7% of participants, respectively. Among urban women compared with rural females, high AR of major OPF was more often detected (p < 0.05), using TIT, whereas there was no such pattern for men. We discovered the territorial variability of RFs and OPF AR. CONCLUSION: Prevalence of OPF RFs varied in Russia depending on age, gender, constituent entities, and the settlement type. Our data have demonstrated the typical age-gender causation pattern of OPF AR. Over 40% of participants required densitometry and fracture risk reclassification.

Lipoprotein Profile in Populations from Regions of the Russian Federation: ESSE-RF Study.

This study aimed to describe the dyslipidemia prevalence and pattern among adult populations from different regions (n = 13) of the Russian Federation (RF). Randomly selected samples (n = 22,258, aged 25-64) were studied according to the ESSE-RF protocol. Lipoprotein parameters were estimated by routine methods. Statistical analyses were performed using R software (v.3.5.1). The overall dyslipidemia prevalence was 76.1% (76.9/75.3% for men/women). In women, total cholesterol (TC) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-C levels gradually increased with age (from 4.72 to 5.93 and from 2.76 to 3.79 mmol/L, respectively); in men, they reached a maximum by 45-54 (5.55 and 3.55 mmol/L, respectively) and then decreased. No differences in high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-C in men of different ages were found, but slight decreases in HDL-C and apo AI were observed in women by 55-64 years. No pronounced associations between education and lipid levels in men were observed; higher-educated women showed significantly better lipoprotein profiles. Similar associations between lipids and income level were detected. Women from rural areas had higher TC and triglycerides than urban residents. Regardless of sex, rural residents had higher HDL-C and apo AI, and reduced apo B/apo AI. Conclusion: Information on the peculiarities of dyslipidemia prevalence and lipoprotein profile depending on sex, age, residential place, and socioeconomic status is useful for assessing the global ASCVD risk, and for risk modeling based on national data.

Regional living conditions and the prevalence, awareness, treatment, control of hypertension at the individual level in Russia.

BACKGROUND: The objective of our study was to investigate the associations of characteristics inherent in large Russian Federation (RF) regions with prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension at the individual level. METHODS: Regional characteristics were obtained from the official website of the Federal State Statistics Service of the RF. We employed principal component analysis to reduce the dimensionality of data, which allowed defining five integral regional indices. Prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension were assessed from the data of the cross-sectional stage of ESSE-RF study conducted in 2013-2014. The final sample included 19,791 patients from 12 RF regions. Generalized estimating equations were used to identify the associations of regional indices with prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension at the individual level, taking into consideration nested data structures (study subjects in the regions). RESULTS: The index characterizing deterioration of social living conditions and societal marginalization exhibited positive associations with the prevalence of hypertension among men (OR = 1.18; 95% CI: 1.05-1.32) and elderly people (OR = 1.16; 95% CI: 1.02-1.32). Moreover, deterioration in the social environment was associated with a reduction in treatment (OR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.64-0.90) and control of hypertension (OR = 0.79; 95% CI: 0.69-0.90). Hypertension awareness was directly connected with demographic crisis (OR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.02-1.25) and augmented industrial development (OR = 1.15; 95% CI: 1.01-1.33) in the regions. The association of regional living conditions with the prevalence of hypertension is relatively weak, compared to predictors at the individual level, but this influence is important for awareness, treatment and control of hypertension. CONCLUSION: The study contributed to evaluating the associations of the vital characteristics inherent in population of large RF regions with arterial hypertension prevalence, as well as with awareness, treatment and control of this disease. Our results provided original insights from the standpoint of cardiovascular disease epidemiology in the RF, as well as in the context of investigating the impact of living conditions on population health.

Long-term trends in blood pressure and hypertension in Russia: an analysis of data from 14 health surveys conducted in 1975-2017.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is recognized as an important contributor to high cardiovascular mortality in Russia. A comprehensive analysis of data from Russian studies that measured blood pressure in population-based samples has not been previously undertaken. This study aims to identify trends and patterns in mean blood pressure and the prevalence of hypertension in Russia over the most recent 40 years. METHODS: We obtained anonymized individual records of blood pressure measurements from 14 surveys conducted in Russia in 1975-2017 relating to a total of 137,687 individuals. For comparative purposes we obtained equivalent data from 4 surveys in the USA and England for 23,864 individuals. A meta-regression on aggregated data adjusted for education was undertaken to estimate time trends in mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure, the prevalence of elevated blood pressure (> 140/90 mmHg), and hypertension (defined as elevated blood pressure and/or the use of blood pressure-lowering) medication. A meta-analysis of pooled individual-level data was used to assess male-female differences in blood pressure and hypertension. RESULTS: During the period 1975-2017 mean blood pressure, the prevalence of elevated blood pressure and hypertension remained stable among Russian men. Among Russian women, mean systolic blood pressure decreased at an annual rate of 0.25 mmHg (p < 0.1) at age 35-54 years and by 0.8 mmHg (p < 0.01) at ages 55 and over. The prevalence of elevated blood pressure also decreased by 0.8% per year (p < 0.01), but the prevalence of hypertension remained stable. Mean blood pressure and prevalence of hypertension were higher in Russia compared to the USA and England at all ages and for both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to the generally observed downward trend in elevated blood pressure in many other countries, levels in Russia have changed little over the past 40 years, although there are some positive trends among women. Improved strategies to bring down the high levels of mean blood pressure and hypertension in Russia compared to countries such as England and the USA are important to further reduce the high burden of CVD in Russia.

What Regional Living Conditions Affect Individual Smoking of Adults in Russia.

Objectives: Our study evaluated the impact of a wide range of characteristics of large administrative regions on the individual level of cigarette smoking in the Russian adult population. Methods: The pool of participants included 20,303 individuals aged 25-64 years. We applied 64 characteristics of the 12 Russian regions under study for 2010-2014. Using principal component analysis, we deduced five evidence-based composite indices of the regions. We applied the generalized estimating equation to determine associations between the regional indices and the individual level of smoking. Results: The increased Industrial index in the region is associated with the probability of smoking (odds ratio = 1.15; 95% confidence interval = 1.06-1.24). The other indices show associations with smoking only in separate gender and educational groups. Surprisingly, it was found that the Economic index has no associations with the probability of smoking. Conclusion: We evaluated the key associations of the territorial indices with the individual probability of smoking, as well as the mutual influence between the territorial indices and individual factors.

Targeted Sequencing of 242 Clinically Important Genes in the Russian Population From the Ivanovo Region.

We performed a targeted sequencing of 242 clinically important genes mostly associated with cardiovascular diseases in a representative population sample of 1,658 individuals from the Ivanovo region northeast of Moscow. Approximately 11% of 11,876 detected variants were not found in the Single Nucleotide Polymorphism Database (dbSNP) or reported earlier in the Russian population. Most novel variants were singletons and doubletons in our sample, and virtually no novel alleles presumably specific for the Russian population were able to reach the frequencies above 0.1-0.2%. The overwhelming majority (99.3%) of variants detected in this study in three or more copies were shared with other populations. We found two dominant and seven recessive known pathogenic variants with allele frequencies significantly increased compared to those in the gnomAD non-Finnish Europeans. Of the 242 targeted genes, 28 were in the list of 59 genes for which the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) recommended the reporting of incidental findings. Based on the number of variants detected in the sequenced subset of ACMG59 genes, we approximated the prevalence of known pathogenic and novel or rare protein-truncating variants in the complete set of ACMG59 genes in the Ivanovo population at 1.4 and 2.8%, respectively. We analyzed the available clinical data and observed the incomplete penetrance of known pathogenic variants in the 28 ACMG59 genes: only 1 individual out of 12 with such variants had the phenotype most likely related to the variant. When known pathogenic and novel or rare protein-truncating variants were considered together, the overall rate of confirmed phenotypes was about 19%, with maximum in the subset of novel protein-truncating variants. We report three novel protein truncating variants in APOB and one in MYH7 observed in individuals with hypobetalipoproteinemia and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, respectively. Our results provide a valuable reference for the clinical interpretation of gene sequencing in Russian and other populations.

The Prevalence of Heterozygous Familial Hypercholesterolemia in Selected Regions of the Russian Federation: The FH-ESSE-RF Study.

Heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) is one of the most common genetic conditions but remains substantially underdiagnosed. The aim of our study was to investigate the prevalence of HeFH in the population of 11 different regions of Russia. Individuals were selected from the Epidemiology of Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Diseases in Regions of the Russian Federation Study. All participants who had low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) higher than 4.9 mmol/L, or LDL-C lower than 4.9 mmol/L, but had statin therapy, were additionally examined by FH experts. FH was diagnosed using the Dutch Lipid Clinic Network criteria, incorporating genetic testing. HeFH prevalence was assessed for 18,142 participants. The prevalence of patients with definite or probable HeFH combined was 0.58% (1 in 173). A total of 16.1% of patients with definite or probable HeFH had tendon xanthomas; 36.2% had mutations in one of the three genes; 45.6% of FH patients had coronary artery disease; 63% of HeFH patients received statins; one patient received an additional PCSK9 inhibitor; no patients received ezetimibe. Only 3% of patients reached the LDL-C goal based on 2019 ESC/EAS guidelines. Underdiagnosis and undertreatment of FH in Russia underline the need for the intensification of FH detection with early and aggressive cholesterol-lowering treatment.

Prevalence, correlates, and mortality impacts of ventricular arrhythmia among older men and women: a population-based cohort study in Moscow.

BACKGROUND: In Russia, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality is high and the mortality gap between men and women is large. Conventional risk factors cannot explain these phenomena. Ventricular arrhythmia (VA) is an important contributor to the death toll in community-based populations. The study examines the prevalence and the mortality impacts of VA in men and women and the role of VA in the male mortality excess at older ages. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of data from the Stress, Aging, and Health in Russia (SAHR) study that was fielded in 2007-9 in Moscow (1800 individuals, mean age 68.8 years), with mean mortality follow-up of 7.4 years (416 deaths, 248 CVD deaths). Indicators reflecting the frequency and the complexity of VA were derived from 24-h ambulatory ECG recordings. Other covariates were: socio-demographic characteristics, conventional risk factors, markers of inflammation, reported myocardial infarction, and stroke. The impacts of VA and other variables on CVD and all-cause mortality among men and women were estimated with the proportional hazard models. We assessed the contributions of VAs to the male-female mortality gap using hazard models that do and do not include groups of the predictors. Logistic models were used to assess the associations between VA and other biomarkers. RESULTS: VAs were about twice as prevalent among men as among women. In both sexes, they were significantly associated with CVD and all-cause mortality independently of conventional risk factors. The highest hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD death were found for the runs of ventricular premature complexes (VPCs) HR = 2.45, 95% CI 1.63-3.68 for men and 2.75, 95% CI 1.18-6.40 for women. The mortality impacts of the polymorphic VPCs were significant among men only (HR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.08-2.07). VA indicators can potentially explain 12.3% and 9.1% of the male-female gaps in mortality from CVD and all causes, respectively. VAs were associated with ECG-registered ischemic problems and reported MI, particularly among men. CONCLUSIONS: VA indicators predicted mortality in older Muscovites independently of other risk factors, and have the potential to explain a non-trivial share of the excess male mortality. The latter may be related to more severe coronary problems in men compared to women.

A Data-Driven Approach to Carrier Screening for Common Recessive Diseases.

Genetic screening is an advanced tool for reducing recessive disease burden. Nowadays, it is still unclear as to the number of genes or their variants that are necessary for effective screening. This paper describes the development of a carrier screening custom panel for cystic fibrosis, phenylketonuria, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, and sensorineural hearing loss consisting of 116 variants in the CFTR, PAH, SERPINA1, and GJB2 genes. The approach is based on the cheapest and fastest method, on using a small number of genes, and on the estimation of the effectiveness of carriers' detection. The custom panel was tested on a population-based cohort that included 1244 participants. Genotypes were determined by the TaqMan OpenArray Genotyping platform on the QuantStudio 12K Flex Real-Time PCR System. The frequency of heterozygotes in the Russian population was 16.87% or 1:6 (CI95%: 14.76-19.00% by Clopper-Pearson exact method): in CFTR-2.81% (1:36), PAH-2.33% (1:43), SERPINA1-4.90% (1:20), and GJB2-6.83% (1:15). The data on allele frequencies were obtained for the first time on a Russian population. The panel allows us to identify the vast majority of carriers of recessive diseases in the population. It is an effective approach to carrier screening for common recessive diseases.

Time trends in smoking in Russia in the light of recent tobacco control measures: synthesis of evidence from multiple sources.

BACKGROUND: The study aims at identifying long-term trends and patterns of current smoking by age, gender, and education in Russia, including the most recent period from 2008 during which tobacco control policies were implemented, and to estimate the impact on mortality of any reductions in prevalence. We present an in-depth analysis based on an unprecedentedly large array of survey data. METHODS: We examined pooled micro-data on smoking from 17 rounds of the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Study of 1996-2016, 11 other surveys conducted in Russia in 1975-2017, and two comparator surveys from England and the USA. Standardization by age and education, regression and meta-analysis were used to estimate trends in the prevalence of current smoking by gender, age, and educational patterns. RESULTS: From the mid-1970s to the mid-2000s smoking prevalence among men was relatively stable at around 60%, after which time prevalence declined in every age and educational group. Among women, trends in smoking were more heterogeneous. Prevalence more than doubled above the age of 55 years from very low levels (< 5%). At younger ages, there were steep increases until the mid-2000s after which prevalence has declined. Trends differed by educational level, with women in the lowest educational category accounting for most of the long-term increase. We estimate that the decline in male smoking may have contributed 6.2% of the observed reduction in cardiovascular deaths among men in the period 2008-16. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of an effective tobacco control strategy in Russia starting in 2008 coincided with a decline in smoking prevalence among men from what had been stable, high levels over many decades regardless of age and education. Among women, the declines have been more uneven, with young women showing recent downturns, while the smoking prevalence in middle age has increased, particularly among those with minimal education. Among men, these positive changes will have made a small contribution to the reduction in mortality seen in Russia since 2005.

Atrial fibrillation among Russian men and women aged 55 years and older: prevalence, mortality, and associations with biomarkers in a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), its impacts on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality, and the associations between AF and inflammatory and serum biomarkers in a population-based sample of Muscovites. METHODS: The study is a secondary analysis of data from the Stress, Aging and Health in Russia (SAHR) survey that includes information on 1800 individuals with an average age of 68.5 years at baseline, and on their subsequent mortality during 7.4 years on average. AF is detected by 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) and 24-hour Holter monitoring. The statistical analysis includes proportional hazard and logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of the 1732 participants with relevant Holter data, AF was detected in 100 (74 by ECG and Holter, 26 by Holter only). The prevalence of AF was 5.8% for men and 7.4% for women. The fully adjusted model showed strongly elevated hazard of CVD and all-cause mortality in men and women with long non-self-limiting AF (LAF). LAF was found to be negatively associated with elevated total and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and to be positively associated with elevated markers of inflammation in women. CONCLUSIONS: The study assessed for the first time the prevalence and the risks of death related to AF among older Russians. LAF was shown to be a strong and independent predictor of CVD and all-cause mortality. AF is unlikely to contribute to the large excess male mortality in Russia. The finding that one-quarter of AF cases were detected only by Holter monitoring demonstrates the usefulness of diagnostics with prolonged ECG registration.

Elevated levels of serum nitrite and nitrate, NOx, are associated with increased total and cardiovascular mortality in an 8-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Nitric oxide (NO) is one of the key regulators of vascular function. Abnormal NO signalling is linked to various cardiovascular diseases. We studied associations between circulating levels of NO metabolites, nitrite and nitrate (NOx) and total and cardiovascular mortality in a prospective 8-year follow-up cohort study in 1869 patients aged over 55 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR) regression models were adjusted for multiple risk-related variables. Post hoc Kaplan-Meier survival curves were compared by the Log-rank test. RESULTS: Proportional Cox regression analysis demonstrated that high serum levels of NOx over 70 µmol/L were associated with elevated total mortality (HR 1.4; 95% CI: 1.06-1.80; P = 0.02) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.4; 95% CI: 0.98-1.98; P = 0.03) when HR was adjusted for age, sex, smoking and urinary creatinine. Additional adjustments for various mortality-associated baseline comorbidities did not influence associations of elevated NOx with total and cardiovascular mortality. Association of elevated NOx with total mortality persisted in the multivariate regression model combining a number of other characteristics while association of NOx with cardiovascular mortality became non-significant in the multivariate model. Specific subset of patients contributing to these associations was determined by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicating that cardiovascular and total mortality were increased in men with high serum levels of NOx over 70 µmol/L (Log-rank test P = 0.01). These associations were not observed in women. CONCLUSION: Elevated concentrations of serum NOx over 70 µmol/L can be used to predict mortality in men over 55 years of age.

Chronic Respiratory Diseases in the Regions of Northern Russia: Epidemiological Distinctions in the Results of a National Population Study.

The aim of the study is to investigate the epidemiological situation regarding chronic respiratory diseases in populations that inhabit different climatic-geographical regions of Russia, and to develop targeted programs for prevention of these diseases. METHODS: (1) a comparative analysis of the standardized mortality data in Russia and other selected regions of the Russian North using the European standard for respiratory diseases, in a population aged 25-64; and (2) data from a randomized cross-sectional epidemiological study, with subjects from three different climatic-geographical regions of Russia. RESULTS: (1) the respiratory disease-related mortality rates in the majority of Russian Northern regions were much higher compared to the national average. Although death rates from chronic lower respiratory diseases were higher among the Northern regions and in the whole of Russia relative to the countries of European Union (EU), the cause of death in the populations of the Northern regions tend to be lower respiratory infections and pneumonia; and (2) despite the absence of any significant differences in the prevalence of smoking, the prevalence of chronic respiratory diseases (COPD) is significantly higher in Far North Yakutsk compared to the other two regions in this study-Chelyabinsk and Vologda. The status of hyperborean had the highest chance of a significant contribution to COPD and cardiorespiratory pathology among all other risk factors. The results revealed a need for effective targeted strategies for primary and secondary prevention of chronic respiratory diseases for the populations of the Northern regions of Russia. CONCLUSIONS: The revealed regional distinctions regarding the prevalence of, and mortality from, chronic respiratory diseases should be taken into consideration when designing integrated programs for chronic non-communicable disease prevention in these regions.